Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais preview and prediction
The match
Étoile Carouge host Stade Nyonnais in the Challenge League on Friday 3 April, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Stade de la Fontenette. Étoile Carouge are 7th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Stade Nyonnais sit 10th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Étoile Carouge's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat FC WIL 1900 3–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Stade Nyonnais's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Rapperswil 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Étoile Carouge and 0.9 for Stade Nyonnais. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Étoile Carouge to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Étoile Carouge 1–0 Stade Nyonnais. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Étoile Carouge57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.25
Stade Nyonnais23%fair 4.26 · @3.50
2.44Expected goals
1.57Étoile Carouge xG
0.87Stade Nyonnais xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Étoile Carouge 1.6 – 0.9 Stade Nyonnais expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Étoile Carouge to win✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Étoile Carouge / FT Étoile Carouge✗
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.30
–
Form
Étoile Carouge – last 5
WWLDL
22 Mar
@ FC WIL 1900
3–1
W
13 Mar
@ Bellinzona
3–0
W
6 Mar
vs FC Aarau
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Yverdon Sport
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Neuchatel Xamax FC
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Stade Nyonnais – last 5
WDLDL
20 Mar
vs Rapperswil
2–1
W
6 Mar
vs Neuchatel Xamax FC
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ FC Vaduz
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs FC Aarau
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Yverdon Sport
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Étoile Carouge and Stade Nyonnais.
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais?
Our pick is Étoile Carouge to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais?
On our numbers Étoile Carouge have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stade Nyonnais 23%.
How many goals will there be in Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais?
Our predicted score is Étoile Carouge 1–0 Stade Nyonnais, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais?
Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Fontenette.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bellinzona2
FC Vaduz3