Bellinzona vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStade Lausanne-Ouchy to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceStade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Bellinzona vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy preview and prediction
The match
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy travel to Stadio Comunale Bellinzona in the Challenge League on Friday 20 March (19:30 WAT) to face Bellinzona.
Form guide
Bellinzona's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Étoile Carouge 0–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Yverdon Sport 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Bellinzona and 2.0 for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 60%.
Safer route: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win at 1.75 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bellinzona 0–2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bellinzona15%fair 6.61 · @3.80
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy65%fair 1.55 · @1.75
2.92Expected goals
0.87Bellinzona xG
2.05Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Bellinzona 0.9 – 2.0 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win✗
65%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / FT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
Bellinzona – last 4
LLLL
13 Mar
vs Étoile Carouge
0–3
L
27 Feb
vs Yverdon Sport
0–4
L
20 Feb
@ Rapperswil
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs FC Vaduz
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy – last 3
WLW
8 Mar
@ Yverdon Sport
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ FC WIL 1900
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs FC Aarau
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bellinzona and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.
What is the prediction for Bellinzona vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our pick is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bellinzona vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
On our numbers Bellinzona have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 65%.
How many goals will there be in Bellinzona vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bellinzona vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our predicted score is Bellinzona 0–2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bellinzona vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Bellinzona vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Bellinzona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Vaduz2