Value bet: Ratchaburi to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRatchaburi to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.81
Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi preview and prediction
The match
Chiangrai United host Ratchaburi in the Thai League 1 on Wednesday 29 April, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Leo Chiangrai Stadium. Chiangrai United are 15th with 5 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Ratchaburi sit 6th on 13 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Chiangrai United's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Muangthong United 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ratchaburi's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Sukhothai FC 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ratchaburi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.0 for Chiangrai United and 1.8 for Ratchaburi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chiangrai United 25%, draw 14%, Ratchaburi 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Ratchaburi to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Chiangrai United 1–1 Ratchaburi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chiangrai United25%fair 3.92 · @3.45
Draw14%fair 7.30 · @3.45
Ratchaburi61%fair 1.64 · @1.91
2.75Expected goals
0.98Chiangrai United xG
1.77Ratchaburi xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Chiangrai United 1.0 – 1.8 Ratchaburi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ratchaburi to win✗
61%
1.64
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ratchaburi / FT Ratchaburi✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.81
–
Form
Chiangrai United – last 6
LLDWLL
5 Apr
@ Muangthong United
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Port FC
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Kanchanaburi
4–0
W
25 Feb
vs Prachuap
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Chonburi FC
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ratchaburi – last 6
WDDLDD
24 Apr
@ Sukhothai FC
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Buriram United
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ BG Pathum United
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Ayutthaya FC
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Gamba Osaka
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Gamba Osaka
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chiangrai United and Ratchaburi.
What is the prediction for Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi?
On our numbers Chiangrai United have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Ratchaburi 61%.
How many goals will there be in Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi?
Our predicted score is Chiangrai United 1–1 Ratchaburi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi?
Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi (Thai League 1) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Leo Chiangrai Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
