Value bet: Ayutthaya FC to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChonburi FC to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Chonburi FC vs Ayutthaya FC preview and prediction
The match
Chonburi FC host Ayutthaya FC in the Thai League 1 on Saturday 28 February, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium. Chonburi FC are 13th with 7 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Ayutthaya FC sit 3rd on 16 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Ayutthaya FC's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Ratchaburi 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Chonburi FC and 1.2 for Ayutthaya FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chonburi FC 46%, draw 21%, Ayutthaya FC 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Ayutthaya FC to win at 3.25 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Chonburi FC 1–1 Ayutthaya FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chonburi FC46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Ayutthaya FC33%fair 3.03 · @3.25
2.71Expected goals
1.50Chonburi FC xG
1.21Ayutthaya FC xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Chonburi FC 1.5 – 1.2 Ayutthaya FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chonburi FC to win✗
46%
2.17
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chonburi FC / FT Chonburi FC✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.06
–
Form
Chonburi FC – last 2
WD
21 Feb
@ Chiangrai United
3–1
W
13 Feb
vs Uthai Thani
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ayutthaya FC – last 3
WLD
25 Feb
vs Ratchaburi
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs BG Pathum United
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sukhothai FC
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chonburi FC and Ayutthaya FC.
What is the prediction for Chonburi FC vs Ayutthaya FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chonburi FC vs Ayutthaya FC?
On our numbers Chonburi FC have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ayutthaya FC 33%.
How many goals will there be in Chonburi FC vs Ayutthaya FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chonburi FC vs Ayutthaya FC?
Our predicted score is Chonburi FC 1–1 Ayutthaya FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chonburi FC vs Ayutthaya FC?
Chonburi FC vs Ayutthaya FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
