Ayutthaya FC vs BG Pathum United preview and prediction
The match
BG Pathum United travel to Ayutthaya Province Stadium in the Thai League 1 on Sunday 22 February (12:00 WAT) to face Ayutthaya FC. Ayutthaya FC are 3rd with 16 points from 8 games (in the top four), while BG Pathum United sit 7th on 12 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Ayutthaya FC and 1.5 for BG Pathum United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ayutthaya FC 32%, draw 21%, BG Pathum United 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Ayutthaya FC 1–1 BG Pathum United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ayutthaya FC32%fair 3.10 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.35
BG Pathum United47%fair 2.13 · @2.10
2.68Expected goals
1.18Ayutthaya FC xG
1.50BG Pathum United xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ayutthaya FC 1.2 – 1.5 BG Pathum United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BG Pathum United to win✓
47%
2.13
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.71
–
Form
Ayutthaya FC – last 1
D
14 Feb
@ Sukhothai FC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
BG Pathum United – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs Buriram United
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ayutthaya FC and BG Pathum United.
What is the prediction for Ayutthaya FC vs BG Pathum United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ayutthaya FC vs BG Pathum United?
On our numbers Ayutthaya FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and BG Pathum United 47%.
How many goals will there be in Ayutthaya FC vs BG Pathum United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ayutthaya FC vs BG Pathum United?
Our predicted score is Ayutthaya FC 1–1 BG Pathum United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ayutthaya FC vs BG Pathum United?
Ayutthaya FC vs BG Pathum United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Ayutthaya Province Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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