Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBuriram United to win ✓69% · @1.13
Double chanceBuriram United or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓10% · fair 9.85
Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 1 sees Buriram United take on Ayutthaya FC on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Chang Arena. Buriram United are 5th with 16 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Ayutthaya FC sit 3rd on 16 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Buriram United's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to BG Pathum United 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ayutthaya FC's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Lamphun Warrior 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Buriram United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Buriram United and 0.9 for Ayutthaya FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buriram United 69%, draw 20%, Ayutthaya FC 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Buriram United 2–1 Ayutthaya FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buriram United69%fair 1.45 · @1.13
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @6.80
Ayutthaya FC11%fair 8.98 · @14.00
3.38Expected goals
2.44Buriram United xG
0.94Ayutthaya FC xG
56%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Buriram United 2.4 – 0.9 Ayutthaya FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buriram United to win✓
69%
1.45
1.13
Double chance
Buriram United or draw✓
89%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Half-time result
Buriram United ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buriram United / FT Buriram United✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
10%
9.85
–
Form
Buriram United – last 6
LDWWWW
8 Apr
vs BG Pathum United
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Ratchaburi
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Muangthong United
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Pattani
3–0
W
14 Mar
vs Chonburi FC
5–0
W
7 Mar
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ayutthaya FC – last 6
LLWLWW
5 Apr
@ Lamphun Warrior
0–2
L
21 Mar
vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Ratchaburi
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Kanchanaburi
0–2
L
28 Feb
@ Chonburi FC
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Ratchaburi
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buriram United and Ayutthaya FC.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ayutthaya FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 2–1 Ayutthaya FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?
Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
