Value bet: Police Tero to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChainat to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Chainat vs Police Tero preview and prediction
The match
Chainat host Police Tero in the Thai League 2 on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Chai Nat Provincial Stadium. Chainat are 7th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Police Tero sit 15th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Chainat's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Pattani 2–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Police Tero's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Nong Bua Pitchaya 3–6 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Chainat and 1.3 for Police Tero. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Police Tero to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 1.90. Predicted score: Chainat 2–1 Police Tero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chainat40%fair 2.52 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Police Tero37%fair 2.67 · @2.90
2.70Expected goals
1.38Chainat xG
1.33Police Tero xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chainat 1.4 – 1.3 Police Tero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chainat to win✓
40%
2.52
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chainat / FT Chainat✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.84
–
Form
Chainat – last 6
LWLLDD
22 Mar
@ Pattani
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Nakhon Si Thammarat
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Songkhla
0–2
L
4 Mar
vs Chanthaburi
1–4
L
28 Feb
@ Sisaket United
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Bangkok
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Police Tero – last 6
LWLDDL
28 Mar
@ Nong Bua Pitchaya
3–6
L
22 Mar
vs Sisaket United
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Bangkok
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Mahasarakham United
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Kasetsart FC
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Khon Kaen United
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chainat and Police Tero.
What is the prediction for Chainat vs Police Tero?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Chainat vs Police Tero?
On our numbers Chainat have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Police Tero 37%.
How many goals will there be in Chainat vs Police Tero?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chainat vs Police Tero?
Our predicted score is Chainat 2–1 Police Tero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chainat vs Police Tero?
Chainat vs Police Tero (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Chai Nat Provincial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bangkok2
Nakhon Si Thammarat0