Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Mahasarakham United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMahasarakham United to win ✗64% · @1.65
Double chanceMahasarakham United or draw ✗86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.34
Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom preview and prediction
The match
Nakhon Pathom travel to Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium in the Thai League 2 on Saturday 4 April (13:00 WAT) to face Mahasarakham United. Mahasarakham United are 17th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Nakhon Pathom sit 8th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Mahasarakham United's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Trat FC 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nakhon Pathom's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Nong Bua Pitchaya 3–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Mahasarakham United and 0.7 for Nakhon Pathom. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mahasarakham United 64%, draw 22%, Nakhon Pathom 14%.
Safer route: Mahasarakham United or draw (86%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mahasarakham United to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mahasarakham United 1–0 Nakhon Pathom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mahasarakham United64%fair 1.56 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
Nakhon Pathom14%fair 7.11 · @4.33
2.40Expected goals
1.75Mahasarakham United xG
0.66Nakhon Pathom xG
42%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Mahasarakham United 1.7 – 0.7 Nakhon Pathom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mahasarakham United to win✗
64%
1.56
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Mahasarakham United or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Mahasarakham United ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mahasarakham United / FT Mahasarakham United✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.34
–
Form
Mahasarakham United – last 6
LLLDWD
22 Mar
@ Trat FC
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ BG Pathum United
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Pattani
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Police Tero
0–0
D
4 Mar
vs Esan Pattaya
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Nakhon Si Thammarat
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nakhon Pathom – last 6
WLLLLL
22 Mar
vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
3–1
W
13 Mar
@ Khon Kaen United
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Kasetsart FC
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Rasi Salai United
0–3
L
28 Feb
vs Chiangmai United
2–5
L
21 Feb
vs Trat FC
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mahasarakham United and Nakhon Pathom.
What is the prediction for Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom?
Our pick is Mahasarakham United to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom?
On our numbers Mahasarakham United have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nakhon Pathom 14%.
How many goals will there be in Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom?
Our predicted score is Mahasarakham United 1–0 Nakhon Pathom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom?
Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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