Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.21
Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya preview and prediction
The match
Nakhon Pathom host Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thai League 2 on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium. Nakhon Pathom are 8th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 3rd on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Nakhon Pathom's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Khon Kaen United 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Nong Bua Pitchaya's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Esan Pattaya 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Nong Bua Pitchaya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Nakhon Pathom and 1.5 for Nong Bua Pitchaya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: Nakhon Pathom 1–1 Nong Bua Pitchaya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nakhon Pathom32%fair 3.08 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Nong Bua Pitchaya47%fair 2.13 · @2.20
2.59Expected goals
1.14Nakhon Pathom xG
1.45Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nakhon Pathom 1.1 – 1.5 Nong Bua Pitchaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nong Bua Pitchaya to win✗
47%
2.13
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nong Bua Pitchaya / FT Nong Bua Pitchaya✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.21
–
Form
Nakhon Pathom – last 6
LLLLLD
13 Mar
@ Khon Kaen United
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Kasetsart FC
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Rasi Salai United
0–3
L
28 Feb
vs Chiangmai United
2–5
L
21 Feb
vs Trat FC
0–1
L
18 Feb
@ Esan Pattaya
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nong Bua Pitchaya – last 6
DWLLLW
14 Mar
vs Esan Pattaya
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Trat FC
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Songkhla
2–5
L
21 Feb
@ Pattani
1–2
L
18 Feb
@ Sisaket United
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Nakhon Si Thammarat
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nakhon Pathom and Nong Bua Pitchaya.
What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
On our numbers Nakhon Pathom have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nong Bua Pitchaya 47%.
How many goals will there be in Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our predicted score is Nakhon Pathom 1–1 Nong Bua Pitchaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Trat FC2
Pattani3
Sisaket United1