Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Esan Pattaya to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEsan Pattaya to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 15.24
Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United preview and prediction
The match
Esan Pattaya host Chiangmai United in the Thai League 2 on Saturday 7 March, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Nongprue Municipality Stadium. Esan Pattaya are 13th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Chiangmai United sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Esan Pattaya's last 4: LDDL Most recently they lost to Mahasarakham United 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Chiangmai United's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Pattani 2–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Chiangmai United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Esan Pattaya and 0.9 for Chiangmai United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Esan Pattaya 64%, draw 13%, Chiangmai United 23%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Esan Pattaya to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Esan Pattaya 1–0 Chiangmai United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esan Pattaya64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw13%fair 7.57 · @3.60
Chiangmai United23%fair 4.34 · @3.40
2.81Expected goals
1.87Esan Pattaya xG
0.94Chiangmai United xG
47%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Esan Pattaya 1.9 – 0.9 Chiangmai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esan Pattaya to win✓
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Esan Pattaya ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esan Pattaya / FT Esan Pattaya✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
15.24
–
Form
Esan Pattaya – last 4
LDDL
4 Mar
@ Mahasarakham United
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Khon Kaen United
2–2
D
18 Feb
vs Nakhon Pathom
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Trat FC
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chiangmai United – last 5
LWLLW
4 Mar
vs Pattani
2–4
L
28 Feb
@ Nakhon Pathom
5–2
W
22 Feb
@ Nakhon Si Thammarat
1–3
L
17 Feb
@ Chanthaburi
0–2
L
13 Feb
vs Bangkok
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esan Pattaya and Chiangmai United.
What is the prediction for Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United?
Our pick is Esan Pattaya to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United?
On our numbers Esan Pattaya have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Chiangmai United 23%.
How many goals will there be in Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United?
Our predicted score is Esan Pattaya 1–0 Chiangmai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United?
Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Nongprue Municipality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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