Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Nakhon Pathom or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Nakhon Pathom to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNakhon Pathom to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceNakhon Pathom or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.18
Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC preview and prediction
The match
Kasetsart FC travel to Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium in the Thai League 2 on Sunday 8 March (12:30 WAT) to face Nakhon Pathom. Nakhon Pathom are 8th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Kasetsart FC sit 18th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Nakhon Pathom's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Rasi Salai United 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Kasetsart FC's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Songkhla 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Nakhon Pathom and 0.7 for Kasetsart FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 44%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nakhon Pathom 62%, draw 23%, Kasetsart FC 15%.
Safer route: Nakhon Pathom or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Nakhon Pathom to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nakhon Pathom or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nakhon Pathom 1–0 Kasetsart FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nakhon Pathom62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.20
Kasetsart FC15%fair 6.79 · @3.50
2.34Expected goals
1.67Nakhon Pathom xG
0.66Kasetsart FC xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Nakhon Pathom 1.7 – 0.7 Kasetsart FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nakhon Pathom to win✗
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Nakhon Pathom or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nakhon Pathom / FT Nakhon Pathom✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.18
–
Form
Nakhon Pathom – last 5
LLLDW
3 Mar
@ Rasi Salai United
0–3
L
28 Feb
vs Chiangmai United
2–5
L
21 Feb
vs Trat FC
0–1
L
18 Feb
@ Esan Pattaya
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Police Tero
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Kasetsart FC – last 5
DDDDL
4 Mar
vs Songkhla
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Police Tero
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Chanthaburi
0–0
D
19 Feb
@ Nakhon Si Thammarat
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Pattani
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nakhon Pathom and Kasetsart FC.
What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC?
Our pick is Nakhon Pathom or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC?
On our numbers Nakhon Pathom have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kasetsart FC 15%.
How many goals will there be in Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC?
Our predicted score is Nakhon Pathom 1–0 Kasetsart FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC?
Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nakhon Si Thammarat2
Sisaket United2
Trat FC1
Pattani3