Value bet: Phrae United to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChanthaburi to win ✗39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Chanthaburi vs Phrae United preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 2 sees Chanthaburi take on Phrae United on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Chanthaburi Stadium. Chanthaburi are 14th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Phrae United sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Chanthaburi's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Kasetsart FC 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Chanthaburi and 1.3 for Phrae United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chanthaburi 39%, draw 24%, Phrae United 37%.
Value angle: Phrae United to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Chanthaburi 2–1 Phrae United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chanthaburi39%fair 2.53 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Phrae United37%fair 2.73 · @3.10
2.72Expected goals
1.39Chanthaburi xG
1.33Phrae United xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chanthaburi 1.4 – 1.3 Phrae United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chanthaburi to win✗
39%
2.53
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chanthaburi / FT Chanthaburi✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.89
–
Form
Chanthaburi – last 3
DWD
22 Feb
@ Kasetsart FC
0–0
D
17 Feb
vs Chiangmai United
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Khon Kaen United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Phrae United – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Sisaket United
1–0
W
17 Feb
@ Bangkok
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chanthaburi and Phrae United.
What is the prediction for Chanthaburi vs Phrae United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Chanthaburi vs Phrae United?
On our numbers Chanthaburi have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Phrae United 37%.
How many goals will there be in Chanthaburi vs Phrae United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chanthaburi vs Phrae United?
Our predicted score is Chanthaburi 2–1 Phrae United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chanthaburi vs Phrae United?
Chanthaburi vs Phrae United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Chanthaburi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nakhon Si Thammarat0