Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.03
Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United preview and prediction
The match
Nakhon Pathom host Chiangmai United in the Thai League 2 on Saturday 28 February, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium. Nakhon Pathom are 8th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Chiangmai United sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nakhon Pathom's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Trat FC 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Chiangmai United's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Nakhon Si Thammarat 1–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.5 for Nakhon Pathom and 0.8 for Chiangmai United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nakhon Pathom 56%, draw 21%, Chiangmai United 23%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nakhon Pathom to win – a 56% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nakhon Pathom 1–0 Chiangmai United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nakhon Pathom56%fair 1.78 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Chiangmai United23%fair 4.29 · @3.50
2.38Expected goals
1.53Nakhon Pathom xG
0.84Chiangmai United xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Nakhon Pathom 1.5 – 0.8 Chiangmai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nakhon Pathom to win✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nakhon Pathom / FT Nakhon Pathom✗
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.03
–
Form
Nakhon Pathom – last 3
LDW
21 Feb
vs Trat FC
0–1
L
18 Feb
@ Esan Pattaya
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Police Tero
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Chiangmai United – last 3
LLW
22 Feb
@ Nakhon Si Thammarat
1–3
L
17 Feb
@ Chanthaburi
0–2
L
13 Feb
vs Bangkok
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nakhon Pathom and Chiangmai United.
What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United?
Our pick is Nakhon Pathom to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United?
On our numbers Nakhon Pathom have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chiangmai United 23%.
How many goals will there be in Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United?
Our predicted score is Nakhon Pathom 1–0 Chiangmai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United?
Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Rasi Salai United2
Sisaket United1
Pattani1
Bangkok1