Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.27 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.27Odds
1
Value bet: Nakhon Pathom to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNakhon Pathom to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceNakhon Pathom or draw ✗86% · @1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.48
Nakhon Pathom vs Trat FC preview and prediction
The match
Trat FC travel to Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium in the Thai League 2 on Saturday 21 February (12:00 WAT) to face Nakhon Pathom.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Nakhon Pathom and 0.7 for Trat FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nakhon Pathom 62%, draw 24%, Trat FC 14%.
Safer route: Nakhon Pathom or draw (86%) at 1.27.
Value angle: Nakhon Pathom to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nakhon Pathom or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.27, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nakhon Pathom 1–0 Trat FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nakhon Pathom62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.20
Trat FC14%fair 6.98 · @3.40
2.41Expected goals
1.72Nakhon Pathom xG
0.69Trat FC xG
44%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Nakhon Pathom 1.7 – 0.7 Trat FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nakhon Pathom to win✗
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Nakhon Pathom or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.27 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.23
Half-time result
Nakhon Pathom ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nakhon Pathom / FT Nakhon Pathom✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.48
–
Form
Nakhon Pathom – last 2
DW
18 Feb
@ Esan Pattaya
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Police Tero
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Trat FC – last 2
WW
18 Feb
@ Police Tero
3–1
W
14 Feb
vs Esan Pattaya
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nakhon Pathom and Trat FC.
What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom vs Trat FC?
Our pick is Nakhon Pathom or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Trat FC?
On our numbers Nakhon Pathom have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Trat FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Nakhon Pathom vs Trat FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nakhon Pathom vs Trat FC?
Our predicted score is Nakhon Pathom 1–0 Trat FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Nakhon Pathom vs Trat FC?
Nakhon Pathom vs Trat FC (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sisaket United0
Pattani2