Los Angeles Galaxy vs New York City FC preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Los Angeles Galaxy take on New York City FC on Monday 23 February, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Dignity Health Sports Park. Los Angeles Galaxy are 11th with 44 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while New York City FC sit 11th on 42 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.4 for New York City FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Los Angeles Galaxy 38%, draw 25%, New York City FC 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 New York City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Los Angeles Galaxy38%fair 2.60 · @2.26
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.60
New York City FC36%fair 2.77 · @2.86
2.81Expected goals
1.43Los Angeles Galaxy xG
1.38New York City FC xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–18%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Los Angeles Galaxy 1.4 – 1.4 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Los Angeles Galaxy to win✗
38%
2.60
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Los Angeles Galaxy / FT Los Angeles Galaxy✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.79
–
Form
Los Angeles Galaxy – last 2
DD
20 Feb
@ Sporting San Miguelito
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Real Salt Lake
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
New York City FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Los Angeles Galaxy and New York City FC.
What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New York City FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs New York City FC?
On our numbers Los Angeles Galaxy have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and New York City FC 36%.
How many goals will there be in Los Angeles Galaxy vs New York City FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New York City FC?
Our predicted score is Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Los Angeles Galaxy vs New York City FC?
Los Angeles Galaxy vs New York City FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Dignity Health Sports Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
