Major League Soccer · USA · Shell Energy Stadium
Houston Dynamo
St. Louis City
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Value bet: Houston Dynamo to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Houston Dynamo 1.5 – 1.4 St. Louis City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Houston Dynamo and St. Louis City on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Houston Dynamo have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. St. Louis City have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. Houston Dynamo come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.5 for Houston Dynamo, 1.4 for St. Louis City). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Houston Dynamo have won 0, St. Louis City have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.56. For a bigger price, Houston Dynamo to win at 2.62 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Houston Dynamo to win ✗ | 41% | 2.47 | 2.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Houston Dynamo / FT Houston Dynamo ✗ | 24% | 4.20 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.49 | – |
Form
Houston Dynamo – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Portland Timbers | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | @ Seattle Sounders | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Minnesota United FC | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs FC Dallas | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Oct | @ San Diego | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Minnesota United FC | 2–2 | D |
St. Louis City – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs San Diego | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | vs Portland Timbers | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Real Salt Lake | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Oct | @ Columbus Crew | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Minnesota United FC | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Oct | vs Vancouver Whitecaps | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 23 Aug 2026 | St. Louis City v Houston Dynamo | 2–1 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 34 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 34 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |  Portland Timbers | 34 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 34 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 34 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |  Minnesota United FC | 34 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |  Colorado Rapids | 34 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 34 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Austin | 34 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 34 | -41 | 26 |
More Major League Soccer predictions
League hub →Seattle Sounders2
Los Angeles FC1
1XSeattle Sounders or draw
80%@1.28
✓
FT
Real Salt Lake2
Los Angeles Galaxy1
1XReal Salt Lake or draw
85%@1.20
✓
FT
FC Dallas3
Colorado Rapids1
1XFC Dallas or draw
81%@1.25
✓
FT
Austin0
Portland Timbers2
X2Portland Timbers or draw
89%@1.20
✓
FT
San Diego0
Sporting Kansas City1
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
73%@1.28
✗
FT
Minnesota United FC3
San Jose Earthquakes1
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
66%@1.40
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?
On our numbers Houston Dynamo have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and St. Louis City 36%.
How many goals will there be in Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.