Major League Soccer · USA · Allianz Field
Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Minnesota United FC 2.2 – 1.1 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Minnesota United FC are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 17% for San Jose Earthquakes.
Minnesota United FC have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. San Jose Earthquakes have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded. Minnesota United FC come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.2 for Minnesota United FC, 1.1 for San Jose Earthquakes). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%).
In their last 2 meetings, Minnesota United FC have won 1, San Jose Earthquakes have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 6.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.51.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Minnesota United FC to win ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | Minnesota United FC or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.10 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.80 |
| Half-time result | Minnesota United FC ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Minnesota United FC / FT Minnesota United FC ✗ | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.24 | – |
Form
Minnesota United FC – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Los Angeles FC | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Oct | vs Sporting Kansas City | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Houston Dynamo | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs St. Louis City | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Oct | @ Colorado Rapids | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Houston Dynamo | 2–2 | D |
San Jose Earthquakes – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Real Salt Lake | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Oct | vs Colorado Rapids | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ FC Dallas | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Nashville SC | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Oct | @ Real Salt Lake | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Colorado Rapids | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 23 Aug 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes v Minnesota United FC | 1–5 |
| 29 Apr 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes v Minnesota United FC | 4–2 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 34 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 34 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 34 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 34 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |  Portland Timbers | 34 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 34 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 34 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |  Colorado Rapids | 34 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 34 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Austin | 34 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 34 | -41 | 26 |
More Major League Soccer predictions
League hub →Seattle Sounders2
Los Angeles FC1
1XSeattle Sounders or draw
80%@1.28
✓
FT
Real Salt Lake2
Los Angeles Galaxy1
1XReal Salt Lake or draw
85%@1.20
✓
FT
FC Dallas3
Colorado Rapids1
1XFC Dallas or draw
81%@1.25
✓
FT
Austin0
Portland Timbers2
X2Portland Timbers or draw
89%@1.20
✓
FT
San Diego0
Sporting Kansas City1
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
73%@1.28
✗
FT
Houston Dynamo0
St. Louis City1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
64%@1.50
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
On our numbers Minnesota United FC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Jose Earthquakes 17%.
How many goals will there be in Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.