Major League Soccer · USA · Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: San Diego 2.5 – 1.2 Sporting Kansas City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
San Diego are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 13% for Sporting Kansas City.
San Diego have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.5 per game. Sporting Kansas City have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded. San Diego come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.5 for San Diego, 1.2 for Sporting Kansas City). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, San Diego have won 1, Sporting Kansas City have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.37.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | San Diego to win ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.55 |
| Double chance | San Diego or draw ✗ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.07 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | San Diego ahead at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT San Diego / FT San Diego ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.85 | – |
Form
San Diego – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ St. Louis City | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | @ Vancouver Whitecaps | 1–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Seattle Sounders | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Oct | vs Houston Dynamo | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ New York Red Bulls | 1–4 | L |
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs FC Dallas | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Oct | @ Minnesota United FC | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Austin | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Real Salt Lake | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Oct | @ Nashville SC | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Portland Timbers | 3–3 | D |
Head to head
| 8 Mar 2026 | Sporting Kansas City v San Diego | 0–1 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 34 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 34 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 34 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 34 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |  Portland Timbers | 34 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 34 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 34 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |  Minnesota United FC | 34 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |  Colorado Rapids | 34 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Austin | 34 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | -41 | 26 |
More Major League Soccer predictions
League hub →Seattle Sounders2
Los Angeles FC1
1XSeattle Sounders or draw
80%@1.28
✓
FT
Real Salt Lake2
Los Angeles Galaxy1
1XReal Salt Lake or draw
85%@1.20
✓
FT
FC Dallas3
Colorado Rapids1
1XFC Dallas or draw
81%@1.25
✓
FT
Austin0
Portland Timbers2
X2Portland Timbers or draw
89%@1.20
✓
FT
Minnesota United FC3
San Jose Earthquakes1
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
66%@1.40
✓
FT
Houston Dynamo0
St. Louis City1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
64%@1.50
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City?
On our numbers San Diego have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sporting Kansas City 13%.
How many goals will there be in San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City?
San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Snapdragon Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.