Value bet: Inter Miami to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultInter Miami to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami preview and prediction
The match
New York Red Bulls host Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT) at Sports Illustrated Stadium. New York Red Bulls are 10th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Inter Miami sit 2nd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
New York Red Bulls's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Toronto FC 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Inter Miami's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Atlanta United FC 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Inter Miami arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Inter Miami 2–2 New York Red Bulls.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.4 for New York Red Bulls and 2.2 for Inter Miami. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: New York Red Bulls 25%, draw 16%, Inter Miami 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Inter Miami to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: New York Red Bulls 1–2 Inter Miami. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New York Red Bulls25%fair 3.94 · @3.30
Draw16%fair 6.20 · @4.00
Inter Miami58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
3.65Expected goals
1.40New York Red Bulls xG
2.25Inter Miami xG
70%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.4 – 2.2 Inter Miami expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Inter Miami 58%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–2 Inter Miami, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?
New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
