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Major League Soccer · USA · Citypark

St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

St. Louis City to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSt. Louis City to win ✓68% · @1.50
Double chanceSt. Louis City or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy preview and prediction

The match

Los Angeles Galaxy travel to Citypark in the Major League Soccer on Monday 12 October (00:00 WAT) to face St. Louis City. St. Louis City are 3rd with 54 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Los Angeles Galaxy sit 11th on 44 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

St. Louis City's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat New York Red Bulls 3–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.

Los Angeles Galaxy's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Colorado Rapids 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.

St. Louis City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 23 July 2026, finished Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for St. Louis City and 0.8 for Los Angeles Galaxy. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was St. Louis City to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: St. Louis City 2–0 Los Angeles Galaxy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

St. Louis City68%fair 1.48 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.50
Los Angeles Galaxy13%fair 7.66 · @4.60
3.00Expected goals
2.16St. Louis City xG
0.84Los Angeles Galaxy xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: St. Louis City 2.2 – 0.8 Los Angeles Galaxy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt. Louis City to win ✓68%1.481.50
Double chanceSt. Louis City or draw ✓87%1.151.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Half-time resultSt. Louis City ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT St. Louis City / FT St. Louis City ✓44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.26–

Form

St. Louis City – last 6

WWWWDW
1 Oct@ New York Red Bulls3–0W
20 Sepvs Toronto FC3–1W
17 Sep@ Colorado Rapids3–0W
13 Sepvs Minnesota United FC4–2W
10 Sep@ Portland Timbers2–2D
6 Sep@ Vancouver Whitecaps3–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Los Angeles Galaxy – last 6

WWDLWL
27 Sepvs Colorado Rapids3–2W
20 Sep@ Minnesota United FC3–2W
13 Sepvs Seattle Sounders1–1D
10 Sep@ Vancouver Whitecaps0–3L
6 Sepvs New England Revolution2–1W
30 Aug@ San Diego1–3L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Los Angeles Galaxy v St. Louis City1–3
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Our pick is St. Louis City to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

On our numbers St. Louis City have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Los Angeles Galaxy 13%.

How many goals will there be in St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Our predicted score is St. Louis City 2–0 Los Angeles Galaxy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Citypark.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.