New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
New York City FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew York City FC to win ✗59% · @1.75
Double chanceNew York City FC or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls preview and prediction
The match
New York City FC host New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Yankee Stadium. New York City FC are 11th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while New York Red Bulls sit 10th on 42 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
New York City FC's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Real Salt Lake 2–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
New York Red Bulls's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Columbus Crew 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC. Across their last 2 meetings New York City FC have won 1, New York Red Bulls 0, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for New York City FC and 1.0 for New York Red Bulls. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 62%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New York City FC 59%, draw 23%, New York Red Bulls 18%.
Safer route: New York City FC or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was New York City FC or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New York City FC59%fair 1.70 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.80
New York Red Bulls18%fair 5.62 · @3.80
3.06Expected goals
2.02New York City FC xG
1.04New York Red Bulls xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: New York City FC 2.0 – 1.0 New York Red Bulls expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Our pick is New York City FC or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?
On our numbers New York City FC have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and New York Red Bulls 18%.
How many goals will there be in New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Our predicted score is New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
