San Diego vs Philadelphia Union prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.44
San Diego vs Philadelphia Union preview and prediction
The match
San Diego host Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer on Monday 14 September, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Snapdragon Stadium. San Diego are 13th with 38 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Philadelphia Union sit 6th on 50 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Diego's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Philadelphia Union's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat FC Cincinnati 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Philadelphia Union arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for San Diego and 1.8 for Philadelphia Union. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Diego 36%, draw 19%, Philadelphia Union 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: San Diego 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Diego36%fair 2.77 · @2.62
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.60
Philadelphia Union44%fair 2.25 · @2.25
3.31Expected goals
1.56San Diego xG
1.75Philadelphia Union xG
67%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: San Diego 1.6 – 1.8 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✓
44%
2.25
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✓
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.44
–
Form
San Diego – last 6
LLWWLW
10 Sep
vs San Jose Earthquakes
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Orlando City SC
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
3–1
W
23 Aug
vs Colorado Rapids
3–0
W
20 Aug
@ Portland Timbers
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ Los Angeles FC
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union – last 6
WWWDDW
10 Sep
vs FC Cincinnati
5–0
W
6 Sep
vs CF Montreal
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ New York Red Bulls
3–1
W
23 Aug
@ Austin
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Inter Miami
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ New York City FC
3–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Diego and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for San Diego vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win San Diego vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers San Diego have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Philadelphia Union 44%.
How many goals will there be in San Diego vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Diego vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is San Diego 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is San Diego vs Philadelphia Union?
San Diego vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Snapdragon Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
