Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Los Angeles FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Los Angeles FC to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLos Angeles FC to win ✗65% · @1.73
Double chanceLos Angeles FC or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC preview and prediction
The match
Sporting Kansas City host Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Children's Mercy Park. Sporting Kansas City are 15th with 26 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Los Angeles FC sit 6th on 47 points (in the top half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting Kansas City's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to FC Dallas 3–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Los Angeles FC's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat New York Red Bulls 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Los Angeles FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished Los Angeles FC 4–0 Sporting Kansas City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Sporting Kansas City and 2.1 for Los Angeles FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Kansas City 14%, draw 21%, Los Angeles FC 65%.
Safer route: Los Angeles FC or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Los Angeles FC to win at 1.73 – 65% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Los Angeles FC or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Los Angeles FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Kansas City14%fair 7.29 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.90
Los Angeles FC65%fair 1.54 · @1.73
3.02Expected goals
0.89Sporting Kansas City xG
2.13Los Angeles FC xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sporting Kansas City 0.9 – 2.1 Los Angeles FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?
Our pick is Los Angeles FC or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?
On our numbers Sporting Kansas City have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Los Angeles FC 65%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?
Our predicted score is Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Los Angeles FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?
Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Children's Mercy Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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