Value bet: Nashville SC to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNashville SC to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.29
New York City FC vs Nashville SC preview and prediction
The match
Nashville SC travel to Yankee Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Saturday 5 September (00:30 WAT) to face New York City FC. New York City FC are 11th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Nashville SC sit 1st on 77 points (top of the table). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
New York City FC's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Toronto FC 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Nashville SC's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat FC Cincinnati 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Nashville SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Nashville SC 2–1 New York City FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for New York City FC and 1.5 for Nashville SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New York City FC 35%, draw 22%, Nashville SC 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Nashville SC to win at 2.55 – 43% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: New York City FC 1–1 Nashville SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New York City FC35%fair 2.86 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.60
Nashville SC43%fair 2.34 · @2.55
2.88Expected goals
1.35New York City FC xG
1.53Nashville SC xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: New York City FC 1.4 – 1.5 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
On our numbers New York City FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nashville SC 43%.
How many goals will there be in New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
Our predicted score is New York City FC 1–1 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
New York City FC vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
