Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: FC Dallas to win @ 2.32 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Dallas to win ✓47% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.87
Austin vs FC Dallas preview and prediction
The match
FC Dallas travel to Q2 Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Monday 17 August (01:30 WAT) to face Austin. Austin are 14th with 34 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while FC Dallas sit 2nd on 58 points (in the top four). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Austin's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Club America 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
FC Dallas's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Toluca 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Austin and 1.7 for FC Dallas. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Austin 32%, draw 21%, FC Dallas 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Value angle: FC Dallas to win at 2.32 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Austin 1–1 FC Dallas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Austin32%fair 3.09 · @2.84
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
FC Dallas47%fair 2.13 · @2.32
3.08Expected goals
1.37Austin xG
1.71FC Dallas xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Austin 1.4 – 1.7 FC Dallas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Dallas to win✓
47%
2.13
2.32 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Dallas / FT FC Dallas✓
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.87
–
Form
Austin – last 6
DWWLLW
14 Aug
@ Club America
1–1
D
10 Aug
vs Puebla
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Club Tijuana
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Colorado Rapids
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ Houston Dynamo
0–3
L
23 Jul
vs Seattle Sounders
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Dallas – last 6
LWWDLD
13 Aug
@ Toluca
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Guadalajara Chivas
1–0
W
6 Aug
vs Club Queretaro
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ San Diego
0–1
L
23 Jul
@ Portland Timbers
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Austin and FC Dallas.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Austin vs FC Dallas?
On our numbers Austin have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Dallas 47%.
How many goals will there be in Austin vs FC Dallas?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Austin vs FC Dallas?
Our predicted score is Austin 1–1 FC Dallas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Austin vs FC Dallas?
Austin vs FC Dallas (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
