Minnesota United FC vs Austin prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMinnesota United FC to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chanceMinnesota United FC or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.52
Minnesota United FC vs Austin preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Minnesota United FC take on Austin on Monday 11 May, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Allianz Field. Minnesota United FC are 10th with 44 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Austin sit 14th on 34 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Minnesota United FC's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Columbus Crew 3–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Austin's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Houston Dynamo 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Minnesota United FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Austin 2–2 Minnesota United FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Minnesota United FC and 0.9 for Austin. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Minnesota United FC 60%, draw 25%, Austin 15%.
Safer route: Minnesota United FC or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Minnesota United FC 2–0 Austin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Minnesota United FC60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.95
Austin15%fair 6.62 · @4.65
2.96Expected goals
2.02Minnesota United FC xG
0.95Austin xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Minnesota United FC 2.0 – 0.9 Austin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Minnesota United FC vs Austin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Austin?
On our numbers Minnesota United FC have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Austin 15%.
How many goals will there be in Minnesota United FC vs Austin?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Minnesota United FC vs Austin?
Our predicted score is Minnesota United FC 2–0 Austin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Minnesota United FC vs Austin?
Minnesota United FC vs Austin (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
