Value bet: Toronto FC to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultToronto FC to win57% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011% · fair 9.01
Toronto FC vs Austin preview and prediction
The match
Austin travel to BMO Field in the Major League Soccer on Saturday 18 April (18:00 WAT) to face Toronto FC. Toronto FC are 12th with 39 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Austin sit 14th on 34 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Toronto FC's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat FC Cincinnati 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Austin's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Louisville City 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Toronto FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Toronto FC and 1.0 for Austin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toronto FC 57%, draw 21%, Austin 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Toronto FC to win at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Toronto FC 1–1 Austin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toronto FC57%fair 1.75 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.50
Austin22%fair 4.63 · @3.85
2.78Expected goals
1.79Toronto FC xG
0.99Austin xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Toronto FC 1.8 – 1.0 Austin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toronto FC to win
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.33
Half-time result
Toronto FC ahead at half-time
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toronto FC / FT Toronto FC
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
11%
9.01
–
Form
Toronto FC – last 4
WLLW
9 Mar
@ FC Cincinnati
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ FC Dallas
2–3
L
14 Feb
vs Polessya
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Austin – last 6
LDDLLD
15 Apr
@ Louisville City
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Los Angeles FC
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Real Salt Lake
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Charlotte
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Minnesota United FC
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toronto FC and Austin.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Toronto FC vs Austin?
On our numbers Toronto FC have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Austin 22%.
How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs Austin?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs Austin?
Our predicted score is Toronto FC 1–1 Austin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Toronto FC vs Austin?
Toronto FC vs Austin (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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