Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Varnsdorf to win @ 2.14 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVarnsdorf to win ✓50% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Varnsdorf vs Slovan Velvary preview and prediction
The match
Slovan Velvary travel to Mestsky stadion v Kotline in the 3. Liga CFL B on Wednesday 6 May (16:00 WAT) to face Varnsdorf. Varnsdorf are 11th with 37 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Slovan Velvary sit 16th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Varnsdorf's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Velké Hamry 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Slovan Velvary's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Slovan Liberec II 1–8 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.4 scored and 2.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.9 for Varnsdorf and 1.4 for Slovan Velvary. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Value angle: Varnsdorf to win at 2.14 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Varnsdorf 1–1 Slovan Velvary. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Varnsdorf50%fair 1.98 · @2.14
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.40
Slovan Velvary29%fair 3.43 · @2.70
3.38Expected goals
1.95Varnsdorf xG
1.43Slovan Velvary xG
67%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–07%
2–06%
From our goals model: Varnsdorf 1.9 – 1.4 Slovan Velvary expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varnsdorf to win✓
50%
1.98
2.14 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.50
Half-time result
Varnsdorf ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varnsdorf / FT Varnsdorf✓
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Form
Varnsdorf – last 6
WDWDLW
2 May
@ Velké Hamry
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Sokol Brozany
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Sokol Zápy
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Pardubice II
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Ústí nad Orlicí
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Teplice II
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Slovan Velvary – last 5
LWDLW
3 May
@ Slovan Liberec II
1–8
L
19 Apr
@ Benátky nad Jizerou
4–1
W
3 Apr
@ Neratovice-Byškovice
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Sokol Zápy
0–5
L
1 Mar
@ Kolín
2–0
W
1.4Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Varnsdorf and Slovan Velvary.
What is the prediction for Varnsdorf vs Slovan Velvary?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Varnsdorf vs Slovan Velvary?
On our numbers Varnsdorf have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Slovan Velvary 29%.
How many goals will there be in Varnsdorf vs Slovan Velvary?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varnsdorf vs Slovan Velvary?
Our predicted score is Varnsdorf 1–1 Slovan Velvary, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Varnsdorf vs Slovan Velvary?
Varnsdorf vs Slovan Velvary (3. Liga CFL B) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestsky stadion v Kotline.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
