Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Varnsdorf to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVarnsdorf to win ✗45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Jablonec II vs Varnsdorf preview and prediction
The match
Varnsdorf travel to Fotbalovy stadion Brizky in the 3. Liga CFL B on Sunday 17 May (09:15 WAT) to face Jablonec II. Jablonec II are 8th with 39 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Varnsdorf sit 11th on 37 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jablonec II's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Sokol Brozany 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Varnsdorf's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Slovan Velvary 4–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Varnsdorf arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for Jablonec II and 1.7 for Varnsdorf. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jablonec II 35%, draw 20%, Varnsdorf 45%.
Value angle: Varnsdorf to win at 2.40 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Jablonec II 1–2 Varnsdorf. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jablonec II35%fair 2.89 · @2.40
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.55
Varnsdorf45%fair 2.21 · @2.40
3.19Expected goals
1.47Jablonec II xG
1.72Varnsdorf xG
56%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Jablonec II 1.5 – 1.7 Varnsdorf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varnsdorf to win✗
45%
2.21
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varnsdorf / FT Varnsdorf✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.18
–
Form
Jablonec II – last 6
LLDLWL
6 May
@ Sokol Brozany
0–1
L
3 May
vs Baník Souš
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ Hradec Králové II
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Arsenal Česká Lípa
1–3
L
11 Apr
@ Mladá Boleslav II
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Kolín
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Varnsdorf – last 6
WWDWDL
6 May
vs Slovan Velvary
4–3
W
2 May
@ Velké Hamry
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Sokol Brozany
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Sokol Zápy
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Pardubice II
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Ústí nad Orlicí
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jablonec II and Varnsdorf.
What is the prediction for Jablonec II vs Varnsdorf?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Jablonec II vs Varnsdorf?
On our numbers Jablonec II have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Varnsdorf 45%.
How many goals will there be in Jablonec II vs Varnsdorf?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jablonec II vs Varnsdorf?
Our predicted score is Jablonec II 1–2 Varnsdorf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Jablonec II vs Varnsdorf?
Jablonec II vs Varnsdorf (3. Liga CFL B) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 09:15 (West Africa Time) at Fotbalovy stadion Brizky.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
