South Korea travel to Estadio Akron in the World Cup on Friday 19 June (02:00 WAT) to face Mexico.
Form guide
Mexico's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat South Africa 2–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 6. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
South Korea's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Czech Republic 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for Mexico and 1.0 for South Korea. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mexico 50%, draw 22%, South Korea 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Mexico 1–1 South Korea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mexico50%fair 2.00 · @2.02
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
South Korea28%fair 3.61 · @3.95
2.48Expected goals
1.48Mexico xG
1.01South Korea xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Mexico 1.5 – 1.0 South Korea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mexico to win✓
50%
2.00
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mexico / FT Mexico✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.11
–
Form
Mexico – last 6
WWWWDD
11 Jun
vs South Africa
2–0
W
5 Jun
vs Serbia
5–1
W
31 May
vs Australia
1–0
W
23 May
vs Ghana
2–0
W
1 Apr
vs Belgium
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Portugal
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
South Korea – last 4
WWWL
12 Jun
vs Czech Republic
2–1
W
4 Jun
vs El Salvador
1–0
W
31 May
vs Trinidad and Tobago
5–0
W
31 Mar
@ Austria
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mexico and South Korea.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mexico vs South Korea?
On our numbers Mexico have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and South Korea 28%.
How many goals will there be in Mexico vs South Korea?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mexico vs South Korea?
Our predicted score is Mexico 1–1 South Korea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mexico vs South Korea?
Mexico vs South Korea (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 19 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
USA2
Australia0
Scotland0
Morocco1