Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZira to win ✓56% · @1.64
Double chanceZira or draw ✓80% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.30
Zira vs Sumqayıt preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Zira take on Sumqayıt on Tuesday 3 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Zira Stadium.
Form guide
Sumqayıt's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Kapaz 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Zira and 0.9 for Sumqayıt. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zira 56%, draw 24%, Sumqayıt 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Zira 1–0 Sumqayıt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zira56%fair 1.80 · @1.64
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.35
Sumqayıt20%fair 4.95 · @5.25
2.35Expected goals
1.44Zira xG
0.91Sumqayıt xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Zira 1.4 – 0.9 Sumqayıt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zira to win✓
56%
1.80
1.64
Double chance
Zira or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zira / FT Zira✓
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.30
–
Form
Zira – last 2
WL
27 Feb
@ Araz
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Turan
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sumqayıt – last 3
LDL
27 Feb
@ Kapaz
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Qabala
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Araz
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zira and Sumqayıt.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zira vs Sumqayıt?
On our numbers Zira have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sumqayıt 20%.
How many goals will there be in Zira vs Sumqayıt?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zira vs Sumqayıt?
Our predicted score is Zira 1–0 Sumqayıt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Zira vs Sumqayıt?
Zira vs Sumqayıt (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
