Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.85
Qarabag vs Keshla FC preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Qarabag take on Keshla FC on Wednesday 4 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Azersun Arena.
Form guide
Qarabag's last 4: DLLW Most recently they drew with Sabah FA 3–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Keshla FC's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Neftchi Baku 2–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Qarabag and 0.9 for Keshla FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qarabag 64%, draw 22%, Keshla FC 14%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Qarabag 2–0 Keshla FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qarabag64%fair 1.56 · @1.20
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @5.00
Keshla FC14%fair 7.06 · @14.00
2.63Expected goals
1.77Qarabag xG
0.86Keshla FC xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Qarabag 1.8 – 0.9 Keshla FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qarabag to win✓
64%
1.56
1.20
Double chance
Qarabag or draw✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.42
Half-time result
Qarabag ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qarabag / FT Qarabag✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.85
–
Form
Qarabag – last 4
DLLW
1 Mar
vs Sabah FA
3–3
D
24 Feb
@ Newcastle
2–3
L
18 Feb
vs Newcastle
1–6
L
14 Feb
@ Mil-Muğan
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Keshla FC – last 3
DDD
28 Feb
vs Neftchi Baku
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Mil-Muğan
0–0
D
16 Feb
vs Turan
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qarabag and Keshla FC.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Qarabag vs Keshla FC?
On our numbers Qarabag have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Keshla FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Keshla FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Keshla FC?
Our predicted score is Qarabag 2–0 Keshla FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Qarabag vs Keshla FC?
Qarabag vs Keshla FC (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Azersun Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
