Turan travel to face Kapaz in the Cup on Thursday 5 March (11:30 WAT).
Form guide
Kapaz's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Sumqayıt 3–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Turan's last 4: DWWD Most recently they drew with Mil-Muğan 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Turan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.9 for Kapaz and 1.4 for Turan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kapaz 17%, draw 27%, Turan 55%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Kapaz 0–1 Turan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kapaz17%fair 5.72 · @6.50
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.75
Turan55%fair 1.81 · @1.48
2.35Expected goals
0.93Kapaz xG
1.42Turan xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–210%
0–010%
1–29%
1–09%
From our goals model: Kapaz 0.9 – 1.4 Turan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Turan to win✓
55%
1.81
1.48
Double chance
Turan or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Turan / FT Turan✓
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.20
–
Form
Kapaz – last 3
WLL
27 Feb
vs Sumqayıt
3–0
W
22 Feb
@ Sabah FA
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Neftchi Baku
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Turan – last 4
DWWD
1 Mar
vs Mil-Muğan
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Qabala
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs Zira
2–0
W
16 Feb
@ Keshla FC
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kapaz and Turan.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Kapaz vs Turan?
On our numbers Kapaz have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Turan 55%.
How many goals will there be in Kapaz vs Turan?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kapaz vs Turan?
Our predicted score is Kapaz 0–1 Turan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Kapaz vs Turan?
Kapaz vs Turan (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Qabala2
Sabah FA2