Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Sporting San Jose or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sporting San Jose to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting San Jose to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceSporting San Jose or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia preview and prediction
The match
Sporting San Jose host Municipal Liberia in the Primera División on Wednesday 22 April, with kick-off at 02:15 (WAT) at Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann.
Form guide
Sporting San Jose's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Puntarenas FC 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Municipal Liberia's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat CS Cartagines 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Municipal Liberia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 March 2026, finished Municipal Liberia 1–0 Sporting San Jose.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Sporting San Jose and 0.8 for Municipal Liberia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting San Jose 58%, draw 21%, Municipal Liberia 20%.
Safer route: Sporting San Jose or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Sporting San Jose to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sporting San Jose or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sporting San Jose 1–0 Municipal Liberia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting San Jose58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.20
Municipal Liberia20%fair 4.89 · @3.70
2.37Expected goals
1.58Sporting San Jose xG
0.79Municipal Liberia xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sporting San Jose 1.6 – 0.8 Municipal Liberia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia?
Our pick is Sporting San Jose or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia?
On our numbers Sporting San Jose have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Municipal Liberia 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia?
Our predicted score is Sporting San Jose 1–0 Municipal Liberia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia?
Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
