Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41
LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa preview and prediction
The match
LD Alajuelense host Deportivo Saprissa in the Primera División on Monday 20 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto. LD Alajuelense are 4th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Deportivo Saprissa sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
LD Alajuelense's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Sporting San Jose 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Deportivo Saprissa's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Sporting San Jose 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Deportivo Saprissa 2–1 LD Alajuelense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for LD Alajuelense and 1.2 for Deportivo Saprissa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: LD Alajuelense to win at 2.62 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: LD Alajuelense 1–1 Deportivo Saprissa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LD Alajuelense42%fair 2.37 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.65
Deportivo Saprissa32%fair 3.09 · @2.90
2.60Expected goals
1.40LD Alajuelense xG
1.19Deportivo Saprissa xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: LD Alajuelense 1.4 – 1.2 Deportivo Saprissa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?
On our numbers LD Alajuelense have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Saprissa 32%.
How many goals will there be in LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Our predicted score is LD Alajuelense 1–1 Deportivo Saprissa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?
LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
