Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.17
Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense preview and prediction
The match
LD Alajuelense travel to Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann in the Primera División on Sunday 12 April (03:00 WAT) to face Sporting San Jose. Sporting San Jose are 3rd with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while LD Alajuelense sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sporting San Jose's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to CS Cartagines 2–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
LD Alajuelense's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Guadalupe FC 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sporting San Jose arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 February 2026, finished LD Alajuelense 1–2 Sporting San Jose.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Sporting San Jose and 1.3 for LD Alajuelense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting San Jose 34%, draw 22%, LD Alajuelense 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: LD Alajuelense to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sporting San Jose 1–1 LD Alajuelense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting San Jose34%fair 2.93 · @2.65
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
LD Alajuelense44%fair 2.29 · @2.50
2.33Expected goals
1.07Sporting San Jose xG
1.26LD Alajuelense xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Sporting San Jose 1.1 – 1.3 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense?
On our numbers Sporting San Jose have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and LD Alajuelense 44%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense?
Our predicted score is Sporting San Jose 1–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense?
Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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