Value bet: Municipal Liberia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMunicipal Liberia to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceMunicipal Liberia or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.44
Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos preview and prediction
The match
Municipal Liberia host San Carlos in the Primera División on Tuesday 7 April, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno.
Form guide
Municipal Liberia's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Deportivo Saprissa 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Carlos's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Deportivo Saprissa 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Municipal Liberia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Municipal Liberia and 0.7 for San Carlos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Municipal Liberia 61%, draw 24%, San Carlos 15%.
Safer route: Municipal Liberia or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Municipal Liberia to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Municipal Liberia 1–0 San Carlos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Municipal Liberia61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
San Carlos15%fair 6.48 · @4.00
2.38Expected goals
1.67Municipal Liberia xG
0.70San Carlos xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Municipal Liberia 1.7 – 0.7 San Carlos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal Liberia to win✓
61%
1.65
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Municipal Liberia or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Municipal Liberia / FT Municipal Liberia✓
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.44
–
Form
Municipal Liberia – last 6
DWWWDW
26 Mar
vs Deportivo Saprissa
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ Puntarenas FC
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ CS Herediano
2–1
W
10 Mar
vs Guadalupe FC
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Perez Zeledon
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Sporting San Jose
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
San Carlos – last 6
LLLDDW
23 Mar
vs Deportivo Saprissa
1–3
L
15 Mar
@ Sporting San Jose
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs LD Alajuelense
0–2
L
5 Mar
@ Puntarenas FC
0–0
D
2 Mar
vs CS Cartagines
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs CS Herediano
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Municipal Liberia and San Carlos.
What is the prediction for Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos?
On our numbers Municipal Liberia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Carlos 15%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos?
Our predicted score is Municipal Liberia 1–0 San Carlos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos?
Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
