Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCS Herediano to win ✓39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.06
CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense preview and prediction
The match
LD Alajuelense travel to Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero in the Primera División on Sunday 22 March (03:00 WAT) to face CS Herediano. CS Herediano are 8th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while LD Alajuelense sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CS Herediano's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Municipal Liberia 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
LD Alajuelense's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Los Angeles FC 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for CS Herediano and 1.2 for LD Alajuelense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: LD Alajuelense to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: CS Herediano 1–1 LD Alajuelense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CS Herediano39%fair 2.55 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
LD Alajuelense37%fair 2.74 · @3.00
2.41Expected goals
1.23CS Herediano xG
1.18LD Alajuelense xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: CS Herediano 1.2 – 1.2 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CS Herediano to win✓
39%
2.55
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CS Herediano / FT CS Herediano✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.06
–
Form
CS Herediano – last 6
LLWWLW
15 Mar
vs Municipal Liberia
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Deportivo Saprissa
1–2
L
5 Mar
@ Guadalupe FC
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Perez Zeledon
3–0
W
23 Feb
@ San Carlos
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs CS Cartagines
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
LD Alajuelense – last 6
LWDWWL
18 Mar
vs Los Angeles FC
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Perez Zeledon
3–0
W
11 Mar
@ Los Angeles FC
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ San Carlos
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs CS Cartagines
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Puntarenas FC
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CS Herediano and LD Alajuelense.
What is the prediction for CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?
On our numbers CS Herediano have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and LD Alajuelense 37%.
How many goals will there be in CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?
Our predicted score is CS Herediano 1–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?
CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
