San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
LD Alajuelense or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceLD Alajuelense or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.71
San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense preview and prediction
The match
LD Alajuelense travel to face San Carlos in the Primera División on Sunday 8 March (03:00 WAT). San Carlos are 5th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while LD Alajuelense sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
San Carlos's last 4: DDWW Most recently they drew with Puntarenas FC 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
LD Alajuelense's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat CS Cartagines 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
San Carlos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.8 for San Carlos and 1.6 for LD Alajuelense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Carlos 17%, draw 24%, LD Alajuelense 58%.
Safer route: LD Alajuelense or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Value angle: LD Alajuelense to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was LD Alajuelense or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: San Carlos 0–1 LD Alajuelense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Carlos17%fair 5.86 · @3.80
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
LD Alajuelense58%fair 1.71 · @1.95
2.40Expected goals
0.76San Carlos xG
1.64LD Alajuelense xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: San Carlos 0.8 – 1.6 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LD Alajuelense to win✓
58%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Double chance
LD Alajuelense or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.71
–
Form
San Carlos – last 4
DDWW
5 Mar
@ Puntarenas FC
0–0
D
2 Mar
vs CS Cartagines
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs CS Herediano
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Guadalupe FC
4–3
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
LD Alajuelense – last 4
WLLL
4 Mar
vs CS Cartagines
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Puntarenas FC
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Deportivo Saprissa
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Sporting San Jose
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Carlos and LD Alajuelense.
What is the prediction for San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense?
Our pick is LD Alajuelense or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense?
On our numbers San Carlos have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and LD Alajuelense 58%.
How many goals will there be in San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense?
Our predicted score is San Carlos 0–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense?
San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
