Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✓38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.24
Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Saprissa host LD Alajuelense in the Primera División on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT). Deportivo Saprissa are 1st with 31 points from 16 games (top of the table), while LD Alajuelense sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.2 for LD Alajuelense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: LD Alajuelense to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Deportivo Saprissa 1–1 LD Alajuelense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Saprissa38%fair 2.60 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.88
LD Alajuelense36%fair 2.79 · @3.20
2.45Expected goals
1.25Deportivo Saprissa xG
1.20LD Alajuelense xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo Saprissa 1.3 – 1.2 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Saprissa to win✓
38%
2.60
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Saprissa / FT Deportivo Saprissa✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.24
–
Form
Deportivo Saprissa – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Municipal Liberia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
LD Alajuelense – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Sporting San Jose
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Saprissa and LD Alajuelense.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?
On our numbers Deportivo Saprissa have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and LD Alajuelense 36%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Saprissa 1–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?
Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Municipal Liberia1
Guadalupe FC1