LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✗60% · @1.77
Double chanceLD Alajuelense or draw ✗83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.10
LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose preview and prediction
The match
LD Alajuelense host Sporting San Jose in the Primera División on Monday 16 February, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto. LD Alajuelense are 4th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Sporting San Jose sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for LD Alajuelense and 0.7 for Sporting San Jose. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: LD Alajuelense 60%, draw 22%, Sporting San Jose 17%.
Safer route: LD Alajuelense or draw (83%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: LD Alajuelense to win at 1.77 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: LD Alajuelense 1–0 Sporting San Jose. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LD Alajuelense60%fair 1.66 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Sporting San Jose17%fair 5.80 · @4.33
2.27Expected goals
1.58LD Alajuelense xG
0.68Sporting San Jose xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: LD Alajuelense 1.6 – 0.7 Sporting San Jose expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LD Alajuelense to win✗
60%
1.66
1.77 ▲
Double chance
LD Alajuelense or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.10
–
Form
LD Alajuelense
No recent results on record.
Sporting San Jose
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between LD Alajuelense and Sporting San Jose.
What is the prediction for LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?
On our numbers LD Alajuelense have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting San Jose 17%.
How many goals will there be in LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?
Our predicted score is LD Alajuelense 1–0 Sporting San Jose, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?
LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
