Double chanceProgres Niederkorn or draw ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.13
Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn preview and prediction
The match
Wiltz host Progres Niederkorn in the Cup on Wednesday 4 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stade Am Petz.
Form guide
Progres Niederkorn's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Union Titus Petange 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.7 for Wiltz and 2.4 for Progres Niederkorn. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 60%.
Safer route: Progres Niederkorn or draw (79%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Wiltz 1–2 Progres Niederkorn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wiltz21%fair 4.87 · @4.33
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.00
Progres Niederkorn58%fair 1.73 · @1.57
4.06Expected goals
1.66Wiltz xG
2.40Progres Niederkorn xG
60%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
1–37%
2–16%
2–35%
From our goals model: Wiltz 1.7 – 2.4 Progres Niederkorn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Progres Niederkorn to win✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Double chance
Progres Niederkorn or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Progres Niederkorn ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Progres Niederkorn / FT Progres Niederkorn✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.13
–
Form
Wiltz
No recent results on record.
Progres Niederkorn – last 3
WLD
1 Mar
vs Union Titus Petange
4–1
W
22 Feb
@ Victoria Rosport
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Swift Hesperange
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wiltz and Progres Niederkorn.
What is the prediction for Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
On our numbers Wiltz have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Progres Niederkorn 58%.
How many goals will there be in Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
Our predicted score is Wiltz 1–2 Progres Niederkorn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Am Petz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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