Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Karviná II to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarviná II to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceKarviná II or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Karviná II vs Vítkovice preview and prediction
The match
Vítkovice travel to Stadion Kovona in the 3. Liga MSFL on Sunday 22 March (10:15 WAT) to face Karviná II. Karviná II are 8th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Vítkovice sit 9th on 23 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Karviná II's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Frýdek-Místek 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Karviná II and 1.0 for Vítkovice. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Karviná II 60%, draw 25%, Vítkovice 15%.
Safer route: Karviná II or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Karviná II to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Karviná II or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Karviná II 2–1 Vítkovice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karviná II60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.40
Vítkovice15%fair 6.73 · @3.40
3.08Expected goals
2.08Karviná II xG
1.00Vítkovice xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Karviná II 2.1 – 1.0 Vítkovice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karviná II to win✗
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Karviná II or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Karviná II ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karviná II / FT Karviná II✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Karviná II – last 5
LWDLD
14 Mar
@ Frýdek-Místek
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Uničov
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Bospor Bohumín
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Górnik Zabrze II
0–3
L
14 Feb
vs Vsetín
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Vítkovice – last 1
L
8 Mar
@ Zlín II
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karviná II and Vítkovice.
What is the prediction for Karviná II vs Vítkovice?
Our pick is Karviná II or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Karviná II vs Vítkovice?
On our numbers Karviná II have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vítkovice 15%.
How many goals will there be in Karviná II vs Vítkovice?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karviná II vs Vítkovice?
Our predicted score is Karviná II 2–1 Vítkovice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Karviná II vs Vítkovice?
Karviná II vs Vítkovice (3. Liga MSFL) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 10:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kovona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
