Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Svay Rieng to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.56 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.56Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSvay Rieng to win ✓64% · @1.56
Double chanceSvay Rieng or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.39
Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown preview and prediction
The match
Svay Rieng host Phnom Penh Crown in the AFC Challenge League on Thursday 12 March, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Svay Rieng Stadium.
Form guide
Svay Rieng's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with NagaWorld 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Phnom Penh Crown's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Kompong Dewa 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Svay Rieng arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 March 2026, finished Phnom Penh Crown 1–4 Svay Rieng.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Svay Rieng and 1.1 for Phnom Penh Crown. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Svay Rieng to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.56. Predicted score: Svay Rieng 2–1 Phnom Penh Crown. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Svay Rieng64%fair 1.55 · @1.56
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.10
Phnom Penh Crown15%fair 6.69 · @4.90
3.46Expected goals
2.37Svay Rieng xG
1.09Phnom Penh Crown xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Svay Rieng 2.4 – 1.1 Phnom Penh Crown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Our pick is Svay Rieng to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.56.
Who will win Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown?
On our numbers Svay Rieng have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Phnom Penh Crown 15%.
How many goals will there be in Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Our predicted score is Svay Rieng 2–1 Phnom Penh Crown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown (AFC Challenge League) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Svay Rieng Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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