Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Venezuela W to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVenezuela W to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceVenezuela W or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.72
Uruguay W vs Venezuela W preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Nations League Women sees Uruguay W take on Venezuela W on Wednesday 10 June, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Centenario.
Form guide
Uruguay W's last 4: LWLW Most recently they lost to Colombia W 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Venezuela W's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Bolivia W 8–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Uruguay W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Uruguay W and 1.9 for Venezuela W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Uruguay W 15%, draw 22%, Venezuela W 63%.
Safer route: Venezuela W or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Venezuela W to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Venezuela W or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Uruguay W 0–1 Venezuela W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uruguay W15%fair 6.77 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Venezuela W63%fair 1.57 · @1.95
2.68Expected goals
0.79Uruguay W xG
1.90Venezuela W xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Uruguay W 0.8 – 1.9 Venezuela W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Venezuela W to win✗
63%
1.57
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Venezuela W or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Half-time result
Venezuela W ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Venezuela W / FT Venezuela W✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.72
–
Form
Uruguay W – last 4
LWLW
6 Jun
@ Colombia W
0–1
L
14 Apr
@ Bolivia W
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Peru W
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ Ecuador W
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Venezuela W – last 3
WLL
19 Apr
vs Bolivia W
8–0
W
15 Apr
vs Argentina W
1–2
L
11 Apr
@ Colombia W
1–2
L
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uruguay W and Venezuela W.
What is the prediction for Uruguay W vs Venezuela W?
Our pick is Venezuela W or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Uruguay W vs Venezuela W?
On our numbers Uruguay W have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Venezuela W 63%.
How many goals will there be in Uruguay W vs Venezuela W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uruguay W vs Venezuela W?
Our predicted score is Uruguay W 0–1 Venezuela W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Uruguay W vs Venezuela W?
Uruguay W vs Venezuela W (CONMEBOL Nations League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 10 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.