Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Paraguay W to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultParaguay W to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceParaguay W or draw ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Peru W vs Paraguay W preview and prediction
The match
Paraguay W travel to Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega in the CONMEBOL Nations League Women on Tuesday 14 April (22:00 WAT) to face Peru W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.2 for Peru W and 2.1 for Paraguay W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Peru W 20%, draw 23%, Paraguay W 57%.
Safer route: Paraguay W or draw (80%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Paraguay W to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paraguay W or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Peru W 1–2 Paraguay W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Peru W20%fair 4.96 · @3.30
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Paraguay W57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
3.22Expected goals
1.16Peru W xG
2.06Paraguay W xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Peru W 1.2 – 2.1 Paraguay W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paraguay W to win✗
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Paraguay W or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Paraguay W ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paraguay W / FT Paraguay W✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.17
–
Form
Peru W – last 2
WL
10 Apr
vs Uruguay W
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs El Salvador W
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Paraguay W – last 2
WL
11 Apr
vs Ecuador W
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Chile W
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peru W and Paraguay W.
Our pick is Paraguay W or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Peru W vs Paraguay W?
On our numbers Peru W have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paraguay W 57%.
How many goals will there be in Peru W vs Paraguay W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peru W vs Paraguay W?
Our predicted score is Peru W 1–2 Paraguay W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Peru W vs Paraguay W?
Peru W vs Paraguay W (CONMEBOL Nations League Women) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
