Value bet: Bubali to win @ 1.65 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBubali to win ✗65% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.60
Bubali vs River Plate preview and prediction
The match
The Division Di Honor sees Bubali take on River Plate on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT). Bubali are 6th with 13 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while River Plate sit 8th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.8 for Bubali and 1.5 for River Plate. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bubali 65%, draw 13%, River Plate 22%.
Value angle: Bubali to win at 1.65 – 65% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Bubali 2–1 River Plate. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bubali65%fair 1.54 · @1.65
Draw13%fair 7.70 · @4.33
River Plate22%fair 4.56 · @3.90
4.31Expected goals
2.76Bubali xG
1.55River Plate xG
59%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
1–16%
3–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: Bubali 2.8 – 1.5 River Plate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bubali to win✗
65%
1.54
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Bubali ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bubali / FT Bubali✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.60
–
Form
Bubali
No recent results on record.
River Plate
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bubali and River Plate.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bubali vs River Plate?
On our numbers Bubali have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 13% and River Plate 22%.
How many goals will there be in Bubali vs River Plate?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bubali vs River Plate?
Our predicted score is Bubali 2–1 River Plate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Bubali vs River Plate?
Bubali vs River Plate (Division Di Honor) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
