Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Fiorentina W to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFiorentina W to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceFiorentina W or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.80
Fiorentina W vs Lazio W preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A Women sees Fiorentina W take on Lazio W on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Curva Fiesole - Viola Park. Fiorentina W are 4th with 10 points from 6 games (in the top four), while Lazio W sit 11th on 3 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Fiorentina W's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Como W 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Lazio W's last 4: WLDD Most recently they beat Parma W 3–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Fiorentina W and 0.9 for Lazio W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fiorentina W 60%, draw 21%, Lazio W 18%.
Safer route: Fiorentina W or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Fiorentina W to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fiorentina W or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fiorentina W 1–0 Lazio W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fiorentina W60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.25
Lazio W18%fair 5.49 · @3.30
2.81Expected goals
1.89Fiorentina W xG
0.92Lazio W xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Fiorentina W 1.9 – 0.9 Lazio W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fiorentina W to win✓
60%
1.66
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Fiorentina W or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Fiorentina W ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fiorentina W / FT Fiorentina W✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.80
–
Form
Fiorentina W – last 6
WLLDDW
3 May
vs Como W
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Juventus W
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Juventus W
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Parma W
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Roma W
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Sassuolo W
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lazio W – last 4
WLDD
3 May
@ Parma W
3–1
W
25 Apr
vs Sassuolo W
0–3
L
21 Feb
vs AC Milan W
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Juventus W
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentina W and Lazio W.
What is the prediction for Fiorentina W vs Lazio W?
Our pick is Fiorentina W or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fiorentina W vs Lazio W?
On our numbers Fiorentina W have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lazio W 18%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina W vs Lazio W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina W vs Lazio W?
Our predicted score is Fiorentina W 1–0 Lazio W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fiorentina W vs Lazio W?
Fiorentina W vs Lazio W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Curva Fiesole - Viola Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
