Value bet: Parma W to win @ 3.00 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLazio W to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.28
Parma W vs Lazio W preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A Women sees Parma W take on Lazio W on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Stadio Ennio Tardini. Parma W are 10th with 5 points from 6 games (in the bottom three), while Lazio W sit 11th on 3 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Parma W's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Como W 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lazio W's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Sassuolo W 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Parma W and 1.4 for Lazio W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Parma W 35%, draw 21%, Lazio W 44%.
Value angle: Parma W to win at 3.00 – 35% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.90. Predicted score: Parma W 1–1 Lazio W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Parma W35%fair 2.82 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.35
Lazio W44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
2.53Expected goals
1.18Parma W xG
1.35Lazio W xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Parma W 1.2 – 1.4 Lazio W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio W to win✓
44%
2.28
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio W / FT Lazio W✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.28
–
Form
Parma W – last 5
DDDDL
25 Apr
@ Como W
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Fiorentina W
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Genoa W
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Napoli W
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Inter Milano W
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Lazio W – last 3
LDD
25 Apr
vs Sassuolo W
0–3
L
21 Feb
vs AC Milan W
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Juventus W
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma W and Lazio W.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Parma W vs Lazio W?
On our numbers Parma W have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lazio W 44%.
How many goals will there be in Parma W vs Lazio W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma W vs Lazio W?
Our predicted score is Parma W 1–1 Lazio W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Parma W vs Lazio W?
Parma W vs Lazio W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
