Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Parma W to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultParma W to win63% · @1.80
Double chanceParma W or draw85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.08
Parma W vs Ternana W preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A Women sees Parma W take on Ternana W on Saturday 4 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Ennio Tardini. Parma W are 10th with 5 points from 6 games (in the bottom three), while Ternana W sit 7th on 7 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Parma W's last 4: DDDL Most recently they drew with Fiorentina W 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ternana W's last 4: DDDW Most recently they drew with Sassuolo W 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ternana W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Parma W and 0.6 for Ternana W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Parma W 63%, draw 22%, Ternana W 15%.
Safer route: Parma W or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Parma W to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Parma W or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Parma W 1–0 Ternana W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Parma W63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.25
Ternana W15%fair 6.63 · @3.80
2.32Expected goals
1.67Parma W xG
0.65Ternana W xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Parma W 1.7 – 0.6 Ternana W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Parma W to win
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Parma W or draw
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Parma W / FT Parma W
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.08
–
Form
Parma W – last 4
DDDL
22 Mar
@ Fiorentina W
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Genoa W
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Napoli W
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Inter Milano W
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Ternana W – last 4
DDDW
22 Mar
vs Sassuolo W
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Como W
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Juventus W
2–2
D
14 Feb
vs Genoa W
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma W and Ternana W.
Our pick is Parma W or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Parma W vs Ternana W?
On our numbers Parma W have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ternana W 15%.
How many goals will there be in Parma W vs Ternana W?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma W vs Ternana W?
Our predicted score is Parma W 1–0 Ternana W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Parma W vs Ternana W?
Parma W vs Ternana W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Genoa W1